Friday 9 August 2019

JSE, ALSI (Swix) Index, JN43

This chart of weekly data for the JSE ALSI (Swix) index tells us that the correction is not over. If it were then the upward move from [A] to [B] would comply with the Elliott wave theory rule whereby the 4th wave may not enter the first wave. 


Such an eventuality is not a surprise. The order of the preceding waves indicates that this correction is at least a Cycle degree. There is good reason to see it as being of Super-cycle degree, but let us cross that bridge only if we have to, because it could well be a bridge too far for most people.

This chart is now telling us that Primary wave [C] is underway. Typically the price action of this wave should be very similar to wave [A] and that would suffice for a Cycle degree correction. Primary wave [A] has a 5-3-5 structure, Primary [C] has a similar prospect.

The RSI indication was at a similar level during wave [A] when it was at a similar distance of time from the beginning of that wave.



Like all of the charts that I post, this pattern analysis employs the standard version of the Elliott Wave Theory and is intended only to demonstrate my own momentary view within my own application of that theory.

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