Showing posts with label J150. Show all posts
Showing posts with label J150. Show all posts

Wednesday, 8 July 2020

JSE, Gold Mining Index, J150

Update 13th July:
 A small overshoot and away it goes.



From 8th July:
The investigation of the approach of the Primary [3] continues. Prospective targets of [3] = 2 [1] and the active (5) = (1) are indicated.
This count for [3] sees that a normal completion at [3]' existed but interprets what would normally be wave [5] as an extension of [3]. This view is adopted because a number of gold related instruments require a correlational extension for compliance with the rule for impulse waves of the 4th may not enter the 1st. The other consideration is that it is normal for the 3rd wave to be the one that extends.
The said extension has been at a higher pace than the first phase of the wave and it is already with a greater price change. The use of correlation continues.


cerebrum cibum


Wednesday, 15 April 2020

JSE, Gold Mining Index, J150

Update 7th July:
The J150 index is assessed for arrival at Primary [3]. Minor wave 5 of Intermediate (5) is compared with the 1.618 ratio of Intermediate wave (1).


Previous

From 15th April:
The Gold Mining index has entered Intermediate wave (5) with gusto. It has doubled within the last month. The ragged pattern deconstructs into another ending diagonal. The 3rd movement has taken respite at the 27.2% extension of Minor wave 1. The RSI can accommodate a full 4th wave with ease which advises caution with the natural expectations of a minor blip here. A full 4th wave is expected to emulate wave 2


The weekly overview from 21st March reminds that we are looking for the completion of Primary wave [3] which will be followed by Primary wave [4] which must not enter wave [1].





My wave numbering

The purpose of sharing this is to encourage broader interest with the application of the Elliott Wave theory. 
The standard version of the theory applies.

Wednesday, 12 February 2020

JSE, Gold Mining Index, J150, updated


The purpose of sharing this is to encourage broader interest with the application of the Elliott Wave theory. 
The standard version of the theory applies.


Update 20th March:
The Bull View:
The blood mentioned in the previous post was evidently insufficient. All that is needed to dispel the rampant fear is a glimmer of hope for survival. But then the damage report will restore the desire for the surviving safe havens, bringing the completion of Primary [3]. But then the fear will return worse than before and the need for cash will drive Primary [4] almost into Primary [1] before it unexpectedly gives way to an irrefutable onset of the systemic collapse and the ultimate driver of a collapsing US Dollar.
Until Primary [5] completes and the Supercycle correction of the Dow finally bottoms out that is.


Projecting for [3] - the nearest fib ratio of (1) above (4) that will accommodate [4]=[2] is 3.62 at about 5085.
Projecting for [5] - the minimum to accommodate [5]=[1] is at about 5200. The maximum for [5] is infinite and will thereby probably require a new or different method of currency measurement.


From 28th Feb:
Intermediate wave (3) arrived a few hours after the previous update. The sharp progress has delivered -11% so far today and we now have a sufficient retrace for an Intermediate wave (4)A closer look at the abc form finds affirmation of that sentiment. However, the insane sell off must decide for itself just how much blood is enough. Once (4) concludes then a V-shaped bounce up to the Primary [3] is seen due. This correction should be good practice for Primary [4].




From 21st Feb:
Primary wave [1] was deeply retraced by [2] which promised a bigger wave [3]. Of paramount consideration is that Primary [4] may not enter [1] and will need adequate space above [1] even though it will probably have to be a small ratio of [2].
But then wave [3] was premature with its Intermediate waves which were perfect except for leaving all the work of producing a [3] something larger than [1] to the Intermediate (5). But when the perfection is disregarded it becomes evident that wave (4) is a reset corrective (4)' to allow for an extension by replication of the entire first half of (3).  The projection for (3) using the 2.62 Fib ratio of (1) is also supported by having a half way point between (3)' and (4)'. At present there is opportunity for more volatility for the foreseeable future starting with the completion of the ending diagonal Intermediate wave from (4)' to (3).

This projection approximates the typical probable price actions. Time frames can surprise and volatility is a given.




From 12th Feb:
So far 2020 has been correction time for the J150 index. Nothing can interrupt the concentration that is involved here, neither fear nor favour shall distract from the lack of lustre.


Since there is no evidence of human nature here then it can be assumed that the business of money has been taken over by some alien invader species. A task force has been assembled to capture some of them for lab testing to determine how to either combat or control them. There could be progress with this at any moment. But there again it could just be another one of those fake stories.

Tuesday, 29 October 2019

JSE, Gold Mining Index, J150 (updated 06/11/2019)

 As it turns out there was a need to inflict further pain as the leading diagonal exercised its right to more space. The RSI was caught snoozing but the commodity channel index showed itself to be alert to the danger.




 From 29/10/2019..
This take of the JSE Gold Mining Index sees an extended and painful start to Intermediate wave (5).  
The cause is the usual pain called the Fed. Looks like horse colic.




Tuesday, 24 September 2019

JSE, Gold Mining Index, J150

The daily chart for J150 has confirmed Intermediate wave 5 in progress. Volatile trading experience are useful here. Expect at least 2% gap up on open.



Friday, 13 September 2019

JSE, J150, Gold Mining Index

The Intermediate 4th wave of the Primary 3rd wave makes a noise like a steamroller doing an emergency stop.


Thursday, 30 May 2019

JSE, Gold Mining Index, J150

The weekly chart of the Gold Mining Index is seen here to have a Super-cycle correction between 2002 and 2015. (Always assuming that the data is not corrupted). The subsequent launch of Primary wave [1] and its 2-stage, fast then slow retrace disturbs and generates a desire for reasoning. But it is what it is and requires only the recognition of its existence. 



Friday, 24 May 2019

JSE, Gold Mining Index, J150

This hourly view of the JSE Gold Mining index depicts the corrective Intermediate wave (2)  with its C-leg form of a falling wedge. The anticipated breakout is evidently in progress.  There is often a pull back towards the boundary line prior to the main move up. -  see the link page...

LINK:   Falling Wedge 


Thursday, 28 March 2019

JSE, J150, Gold Miners Index

The 15 minute Gold Miners Index chart shows the retrace of Minor wave 1 reaching the zone of the lower order 4th wave [iv]. This is the most popular geometry and is supported as an impending turning point by the low RSI reading.  
Minor wave 3 price action is typically about 1.6 times that of wave 1, but there are no guarantees being offered. Check the charts of the component gold shares for similar patterns. Soon.